Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 55.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
56.7% (254)
-9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
52.6% (76)
+47.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
100.0% (2)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stamkos is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (126)
51.9% (158)
Away
50.0% (74)
59.8% (174)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
55.0%
P3
45.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |