Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 55.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
56.1% (342)
-8.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
62.5% (8)
-29.2%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (129)
53.4% (208)
Away
50.0% (84)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
55.6%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
45.9%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |