Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 59.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 57.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
6
3
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
7
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
49.7% (825)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Home
49.7% (2,197)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
50.4%
52.7%
P3
47.2%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 3, 2022 | OT | 03:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |