Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 58.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 67.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
55.9% (499)
-4.2%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
56.3% (126)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
58.3% (12)
+4.2%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Home
49.5% (313)
55.3% (349)
Away
53.5% (333)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
P1
54.5%
57.0%
P2
51.1%
59.2%
P3
49.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |