Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 85.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 89.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Barbashev
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Barbashev
Pavelski
Last 10: Barbashev 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
0
Barbashev
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
4
Barbashev
Pavelski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
54.4% (474)
-9.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
51.9% (104)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
52.7% (74)
-5.1%
On power play, Barbashev has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Pavelski
Home
39.6% (134)
54.3% (313)
Away
49.5% (194)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Barbashev
Pavelski
P1
38.3%
51.0%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
49.1%
58.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |