Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Ek 49.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Pavelski
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pavelski
Ek
Last 9: Pavelski 6-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
Pavelski
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
48.4% (926)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
55.4% (327)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
41.4% (133)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Ek
Home
54.2% (360)
50.1% (689)
Away
52.6% (329)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Pavelski
Ek
P1
54.5%
49.5%
P2
56.7%
49.3%
P3
50.8%
48.9%
OT
30.8%
53.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | OT | 03:33 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |