Joe Pavelski vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Ek 47.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 29-24 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 62.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 63.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 63.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Pavelski
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
29
(53 meetings)
24
29
Pavelski
Ek
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
13
Pavelski
Ek
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
6
Pavelski
Ek
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
5
10
Pavelski
Ek
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
47.3% (6,674)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
55.2% (1,494)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
40.2% (1,168)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Ek
Home
56.4% (5,998)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Pavelski
Ek
P1
53.5%
46.6%
P2
55.2%
49.4%
P3
53.9%
46.7%
OT
52.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2023 | OT | 03:33 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |