Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Ek 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 55.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Pavelski
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pavelski
Ek
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
4
Pavelski
Ek
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
Pavelski
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Pavelski
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
47.7% (1,023)
+3.8%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
60.2% (362)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
41.5% (217)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Ek
Home
53.1% (339)
48.3% (801)
Away
49.2% (356)
51.1% (801)
By Period
Pavelski
Ek
P1
53.8%
50.2%
P2
47.8%
50.1%
P3
50.2%
49.3%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |