Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 56.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 56.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
9
2
Pavelski
Draisaitl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Pavelski
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
2
Pavelski
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
56.6% (956)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
53.5% (144)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
55.1% (98)
+0.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Draisaitl is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Home
56.1% (421)
56.1% (626)
Away
53.9% (490)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Pavelski
Draisaitl
P1
57.1%
56.9%
P2
55.8%
53.7%
P3
52.5%
56.9%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |