Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Last 9: Pavelski 4-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Pavelski
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
52.4% (974)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
59.5% (373)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
61.0% (123)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Home
54.2% (360)
54.5% (778)
Away
52.6% (329)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Pavelski
Draisaitl
P1
54.5%
54.6%
P2
56.7%
56.1%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
30.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Draisaitl
56.0%▲
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |