Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 59.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 71.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Pavelski
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
0
Pavelski
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Pavelski
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
57.4% (1,010)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
56.2% (331)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
54.5% (110)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Draisaitl
Home
53.1% (339)
56.4% (734)
Away
49.2% (356)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Pavelski
Draisaitl
P1
53.8%
55.6%
P2
47.8%
62.1%
P3
50.2%
52.4%
OT
71.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |