Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Couture 47.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 79.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 56.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 63.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Pavelski
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Pavelski
Couture
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
1
Pavelski
Couture
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Pavelski
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
3
Pavelski
Couture
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
49.2% (1,083)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
56.7% (60)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
35.4% (206)
+27.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Couture
Home
54.2% (360)
49.6% (713)
Away
52.6% (329)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Pavelski
Couture
P1
54.5%
47.2%
P2
56.7%
45.0%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |