Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Couture 49.0% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Couture 50.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Pavelski
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
44.9% (78)
+6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
57.1% (7)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
63.6% (11)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Couture
Home
53.1% (339)
45.2% (62)
Away
49.2% (356)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Pavelski
Couture
P1
53.8%
55.2%
P2
47.8%
44.4%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
71.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%