Scouting Report
Marcus Foligno holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Foligno 51.7% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Pavelski
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
53.8% (13)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
0.0% (1)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
83.3% (6)
-38.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
55.0% (391)
70.0% (10)
Away
49.7% (360)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
60.0%
P3
52.0%
100.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
60.0%