Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Foligno 48.3% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Pavelski
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
46.2% (13)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
0.0% (3)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
53.1% (339)
25.0% (8)
Away
49.2% (356)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
53.8%
37.5%
P2
47.8%
42.9%
P3
50.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
38.9%