Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Foligno 50.0% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 70.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Pavelski
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
46.2% (13)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
100.0% (1)
-42.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 83.3% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
54.2% (360)
42.9% (7)
Away
52.6% (329)
57.1% (7)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
33.3%
P3
50.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
50.0%