Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Johansson 46.0% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Pavelski
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
40.7% (54)
+11.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
43.2% (44)
+11.3%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansson is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansson
Home
55.0% (391)
44.2% (52)
Away
49.7% (360)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansson
P1
50.8%
37.1%
P2
55.0%
34.6%
P3
52.0%
52.8%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%