Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Johansson 48.0% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Pavelski
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
46.3% (41)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
25.0% (8)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
66.7% (3)
-4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansson is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansson
Home
54.2% (360)
40.9% (22)
Away
52.6% (329)
46.7% (30)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansson
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
45.0%
P3
50.8%
30.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
44.2%