Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +32.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Johansson 42.4% (+32.3%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 60.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Pavelski
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
21.7% (23)
+29.8%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
16.7% (6)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
0.0% (3)
+28.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansson is 7.7% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansson
Home
53.1% (339)
25.0% (12)
Away
49.2% (356)
15.0% (20)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansson
P1
53.8%
12.5%
P2
47.8%
23.1%
P3
50.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
18.8%