Joe Pavelski vs Marcus Johansson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Johansson 41.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.4%
Neutral zone
Johansson 54.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Pavelski
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Pavelski
Johansson
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
5
Pavelski
Johansson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
3
Pavelski
Johansson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
3
Pavelski
Johansson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
41.0% (2,522)
+12.6%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
42.5% (351)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
36.3% (80)
+14.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansson is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,040).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansson
Home
56.4% (5,998)
42.7% (1,459)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
39.5% (1,518)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansson
P1
53.5%
42.8%
P2
55.2%
40.4%
P3
53.9%
40.5%
OT
52.3%
28.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2014 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |