Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.6% vs Backlund 48.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Pavelski
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pavelski
Backlund
Last 5: Pavelski 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Pavelski
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (480)
47.3% (357)
+3.1%
Power Play
51.5% (97)
55.0% (40)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (83)
30.0% (10)
+30.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Pavelski shoots right. Backlund is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backlund
Home
53.1% (311)
45.0% (211)
Away
50.7% (349)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Pavelski
Backlund
P1
55.4%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
53.0%
P3
51.7%
41.2%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |