Joe Pavelski vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 67 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 105-86 in 191 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 82.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 53.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 69.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Pavelski
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
105
-
86
(191 meetings)
105
86
Pavelski
Backlund
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
49
18
Pavelski
Backlund
67 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
30
41
Pavelski
Backlund
71 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
26
27
Pavelski
Backlund
53 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
49.7% (13,410)
+3.9%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
51.6% (1,336)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backlund
Home
56.4% (5,998)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Pavelski
Backlund
P1
53.5%
48.5%
P2
55.2%
50.3%
P3
53.9%
48.4%
OT
52.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |