Joe Pavelski vs Mikael Backlund

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 52.9% vs Backlund 49.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 68.6%
Defensive zone Backlund 69.0%
Neutral zone Backlund 69.0%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Pavelski Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 10 (15 meetings)
5
10
Pavelski Backlund
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Pavelski Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
5
Pavelski Backlund
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
49.2% (884)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
44.3% (61)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
57.0% (86)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +15.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Backlund is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backlund
Home
55.2% (458)
49.3% (531)
Away
51.4% (531)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Pavelski
Backlund
P1
54.0%
47.1%
P2
54.5%
53.7%
P3
50.5%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 7, 2019 3 01:54 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Feb 7, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Dec 31, 2018 3 09:23 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 31, 2018 2 14:12 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 31, 2018 2 06:21 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Dec 31, 2018 1 10:51 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 11, 2018 3 14:10 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 11, 2018 3 06:38 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 11, 2018 3 03:17 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 11, 2018 2 13:29 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 11, 2018 2 03:37 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 11, 2018 2 00:57 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 11, 2018 1 13:25 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 11, 2018 1 03:04 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 11, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund