Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pavelski
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pavelski
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
47.0% (541)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
47.4% (95)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
15.4% (13)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backstrom
Home
55.0% (391)
48.5% (328)
Away
49.7% (360)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Pavelski
Backstrom
P1
50.8%
44.8%
P2
55.0%
42.9%
P3
52.0%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |