Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Pavelski
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
51.4% (473)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
39.5% (38)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
33.3% (3)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backstrom
Home
54.2% (360)
53.6% (278)
Away
52.6% (329)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Pavelski
Backstrom
P1
54.5%
51.5%
P2
56.7%
56.0%
P3
50.8%
43.5%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%