Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 50.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Pavelski
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
53.2% (77)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
50.0% (6)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backstrom
Home
53.1% (339)
54.5% (55)
Away
49.2% (356)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Pavelski
Backstrom
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
52.9%
P3
50.2%
55.0%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%