Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 41-28 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 77.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 75.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Pavelski
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
28
(69 meetings)
41
28
Pavelski
Backstrom
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
12
Pavelski
Backstrom
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
20
11
Pavelski
Backstrom
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
5
Pavelski
Backstrom
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
50.4% (11,581)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
52.3% (1,895)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
47.0% (889)
+3.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backstrom
Home
56.4% (5,998)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Pavelski
Backstrom
P1
53.5%
50.1%
P2
55.2%
49.7%
P3
53.9%
51.6%
OT
52.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |