Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Zacha 46.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 75.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Pavelski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
45.3% (247)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
58.1% (31)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
22.2% (18)
+40.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Zacha
Home
54.2% (360)
39.7% (131)
Away
52.6% (329)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Pavelski
Zacha
P1
54.5%
42.9%
P2
56.7%
46.4%
P3
50.8%
42.3%
OT
30.8%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |