Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 56.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Pavelski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pavelski
Zacha
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
5
Pavelski
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
53.9% (787)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
63.2% (193)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.3% (88)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Zacha
Home
53.1% (339)
56.7% (538)
Away
49.2% (356)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Pavelski
Zacha
P1
53.8%
52.6%
P2
47.8%
54.8%
P3
50.2%
56.8%
OT
71.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |