Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Danault 53.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 68.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Pavelski
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pavelski
Danault
Last 7: Pavelski 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
3
Pavelski
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
54.0% (985)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
61.1% (131)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
43.8% (146)
+0.6%
On power play, Danault has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Danault
Home
55.0% (391)
54.7% (636)
Away
49.7% (360)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Pavelski
Danault
P1
50.8%
54.1%
P2
55.0%
54.3%
P3
52.0%
52.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |