Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Danault 54.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 60.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Pavelski
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pavelski
Danault
Last 6: Pavelski 1-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Pavelski
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Pavelski
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
55.1% (953)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
64.6% (144)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
42.0% (176)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Danault
Home
54.2% (360)
55.4% (641)
Away
52.6% (329)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Pavelski
Danault
P1
54.5%
61.0%
P2
56.7%
52.3%
P3
50.8%
51.3%
OT
30.8%
35.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |