Joe Pavelski vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.3%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Danault 53.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 75.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 61.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Pavelski
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Pavelski
Danault
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
11
4
Pavelski
Danault
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
6
16
Pavelski
Danault
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
7
Pavelski
Danault
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
53.6% (9,447)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
61.4% (757)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
47.4% (1,702)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Danault
Home
56.4% (5,998)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Pavelski
Danault
P1
53.5%
53.7%
P2
55.2%
53.5%
P3
53.9%
52.7%
OT
52.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |