Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.2%). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Colton 51.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 57.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Pavelski
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pavelski
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Pavelski
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
52.7% (524)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.9% (53)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
0.0% (4)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Colton
Home
55.0% (391)
52.9% (291)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Pavelski
Colton
P1
50.8%
50.6%
P2
55.0%
54.4%
P3
52.0%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |