Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Colton 54.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 58.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 54.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Pavelski
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Pavelski
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
56.1% (173)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
56.3% (16)
+1.2%
On even strength, Colton has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Colton is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Colton
Home
54.2% (360)
55.3% (94)
Away
52.6% (329)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Pavelski
Colton
P1
54.5%
48.1%
P2
56.7%
62.5%
P3
50.8%
57.1%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ross Colton |