Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Colton 51.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 60.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Pavelski
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pavelski
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Pavelski
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
52.1% (741)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
48.3% (60)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
42.1% (19)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Colton
Home
53.1% (339)
54.0% (411)
Away
49.2% (356)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Pavelski
Colton
P1
53.8%
56.7%
P2
47.8%
53.1%
P3
50.2%
46.3%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ross Colton |