Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Donato 47.1% (+13.0%)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 65.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Pavelski
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
30.4% (23)
+22.1%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
53.3% (15)
+1.2%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Donato is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Donato
Home
55.0% (391)
47.1% (17)
Away
49.7% (360)
33.3% (21)
By Period
Pavelski
Donato
P1
50.8%
33.3%
P2
55.0%
28.6%
P3
52.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.5%