Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Donato 45.3% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Donato 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 56.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Pavelski
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
42.9% (140)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Donato
Home
54.2% (360)
44.6% (83)
Away
52.6% (329)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Pavelski
Donato
P1
54.5%
53.2%
P2
56.7%
33.3%
P3
50.8%
41.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%