Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Johansen 52.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Pavelski
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pavelski
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Pavelski
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
49.4% (1,010)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
62.3% (236)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
67.2% (67)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansen
Home
55.0% (391)
54.7% (655)
Away
49.7% (360)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansen
P1
50.8%
52.2%
P2
55.0%
50.7%
P3
52.0%
54.8%
OT
25.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |