Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 50.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 54.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Pavelski
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
48.0% (275)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
48.1% (52)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
53.1% (32)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Reinhart
Home
55.0% (391)
49.8% (201)
Away
49.7% (360)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Pavelski
Reinhart
P1
50.8%
54.8%
P2
55.0%
40.5%
P3
52.0%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%