Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 50.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 56.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Pavelski
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
44.6% (345)
+6.9%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
43.3% (97)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
43.2% (88)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Reinhart is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Reinhart
Home
53.1% (339)
47.9% (267)
Away
49.2% (356)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Pavelski
Reinhart
P1
53.8%
45.6%
P2
47.8%
42.0%
P3
50.2%
45.4%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%