Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Pavelski
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
49.4% (259)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
54.4% (136)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
47.9% (71)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Reinhart
Home
54.2% (360)
54.9% (235)
Away
52.6% (329)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Pavelski
Reinhart
P1
54.5%
52.3%
P2
56.7%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%