Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.9% vs Lewis 41.4% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 54.0%
Neutral zone
Lewis 58.1%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Pavelski
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pavelski
Lewis
Last 5: Pavelski 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Pavelski
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
39.6% (351)
+13.8%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
60.0% (5)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
33.3% (27)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Pavelski is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Pavelski shoots right. Lewis is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lewis
Home
59.0% (527)
38.2% (178)
Away
49.3% (493)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Pavelski
Lewis
P1
50.8%
39.9%
P2
58.9%
40.1%
P3
53.6%
36.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |