Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Lewis 45.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 63.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Pavelski
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
42.5% (127)
+10.0%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
66.7% (6)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
38.8% (49)
+5.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Lewis is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lewis
Home
55.0% (391)
47.4% (95)
Away
49.7% (360)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Pavelski
Lewis
P1
50.8%
36.4%
P2
55.0%
45.8%
P3
52.0%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |