Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Lewis 44.3% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 50.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Pavelski
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
41.8% (251)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
45.5% (11)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
44.7% (47)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Lewis is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lewis
Home
54.2% (360)
39.2% (166)
Away
52.6% (329)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Pavelski
Lewis
P1
54.5%
45.2%
P2
56.7%
43.8%
P3
50.8%
37.8%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%