Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Lewis 44.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Pavelski
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
45.7% (210)
+5.8%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
71.4% (7)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
33.7% (95)
-5.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Lewis is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lewis
Home
53.1% (339)
48.8% (166)
Away
49.2% (356)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Pavelski
Lewis
P1
53.8%
37.9%
P2
47.8%
46.7%
P3
50.2%
42.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |