Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Pavelski
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
61.9% (42)
-9.4%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
55.6% (9)
-1.1%
On even strength, Johnson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johnson
Home
55.0% (391)
52.0% (25)
Away
49.7% (360)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Pavelski
Johnson
P1
50.8%
72.0%
P2
55.0%
66.7%
P3
52.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%