Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Staal 56.8% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 51.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 52.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Veleno
Staal
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Veleno
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
58.9% (1,041)
-9.8%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
53.4% (73)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
49.1% (171)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
44.0% (184)
59.0% (578)
Away
51.1% (276)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
50.8%
57.1%
P2
50.4%
60.9%
P3
43.9%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
20.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |