Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Staal 54.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 70.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 64.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Staal
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Veleno
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
57.0% (1,017)
-9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.7% (26)
+42.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
45.1% (286)
-20.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
47.8% (201)
54.3% (667)
Away
46.1% (228)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
48.8%
56.2%
P2
47.9%
57.0%
P3
44.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |