Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 52.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Veleno
Staal
Last 7: Veleno 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Veleno
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
56.3% (1,115)
-13.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
61.2% (67)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
52.1% (292)
-18.8%
On power play, Staal has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
40.7% (327)
58.3% (705)
Away
44.4% (324)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
43.2%
54.5%
P2
42.0%
58.2%
P3
42.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |