Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Staal 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
57.2% (740)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
43.9% (187)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
49.6% (123)
55.4% (518)
Away
52.5% (162)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
53.8%
53.6%
P2
47.8%
56.6%
P3
54.5%
55.7%
OT
25.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
61.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |