Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
56.1% (955)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
43.0% (242)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
49.6% (123)
55.4% (663)
Away
52.8% (178)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
54.8%
55.1%
P2
49.2%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |